Brazilian Serie B, round 35 · Tuesday, 27 October, 01:30 MSK

América-MG — Cuiabá

Model prediction for 27 October

América-MG26%

Draw28%

Cuiabá46%

Model estimate at 20:13 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cuiabá are slightly stronger: 46% against 26%, draw 28%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 44%.

Why

By the strength ratings Cuiabá are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: América-MG — Cuiabá What is xG?		0.9–1.3
América-MG not to lose		54%
Cuiabá not to lose		74%
No draw		72%
Both teams to score: yes		44%
Both teams to score: no		56%
Total over 2.5		38%
Total under 2.5		62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap América-MG
América-MG goals
Cuiabá goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

América-MG

13.10away · Criciúma0:1
08.10Fortaleza0:1
03.10away · Atlético-GO0:2
29.09Juventude0:1
19.09away · Vila Nova0:1

Cuiabá

12.10Avaí0:1
08.10away · Vila Nova0:0
03.10Ponte Preta2:0
27.09away · CRB0:3
22.09Náutico3:0

Head to head

03.07.2026Cuiabá — América-MG1:0
16.11.2025América-MG — Cuiabá1:1
24.07.2025Cuiabá — América-MG3:1
16.09.2023Cuiabá — América-MG2:2
07.05.2023América-MG — Cuiabá1:2

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
10	Goiás	33	14	6	13	34–40	-6	48
11	Cuiabá	33	11	14	8	32–26	+6	47
12	São Bernardo	33	12	10	11	46–36	+10	46
18, Relegation	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40–47	-7	28
19, Relegation	América-MG	33	4	5	24	21–54	-33	17
20, Relegation	Ponte Preta	33	3	4	26	18–73	-55	13

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao Serie B on the same day

02:30
JuventudeNáuticopreliminary
592516
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →