Serie A, round 10 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Atalanta — Parma
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Atalanta are clear favourites: 63% against 13% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atalanta are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atalanta — Parma What is xG? | 1.9–0.8 | |
| Atalanta not to lose | 87% | |
| Parma not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atalanta
- Atalanta goals
- Parma goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Atalanta — Parma4:0
- 30.08.2025Parma — Atalanta1:1
- 25.05.2025Atalanta — Parma2:3
- 23.11.2024Parma — Atalanta1:3
- 09.05.2021Parma — Atalanta2:5
Table
Serie A on the same day
- SassuoloFiorentinapreliminary333235XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →