Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Atlético — Vizela
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Vizela are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vizela are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético — Vizela What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| Atlético not to lose | 50% | |
| Vizela not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlético
- Atlético goals
- Vizela goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · Bombarralense1:0
- 20.09away · Sintrense1:2
- 22.09away · Lusitânia Lourosa3:4
- 18.05away · Boavista2:2
- 11.05Estrela da Amadora4:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1320672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- 3627382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 2926452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 1622622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →