Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Baranovici — Vitebsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Vitebsk are slightly stronger: 43% against 32%, draw 26%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Baranovici — Vitebsk What is xG? | 1.1–1.3 | |
| Baranovici not to lose | 57% | |
| Vitebsk not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Baranovici
- Baranovici goals
- Vitebsk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Neman0:3
- 20.09FC Gomel0:2
- 12.09away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0:0
- 06.09Dnepr Mogilev2:1
- 29.08away · Din. Minsk1:0
Head to head
- 31.05.2026Vitebsk — Baranovici2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Gomel | 24 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | +7 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | +1 | 34 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovici | 24 | 6 | -17 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | -18 | 23 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 6022181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →