Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Estadio Claudio Fabián Tapia

Barracas Central — Huracán

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Barracas Central36%
Draw33%
Huracán31%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (33%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 33% fails in about 67 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Barracas Central 36%, Huracán 31%, draw 33%.

1.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 26%, both teams to score — 36%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Barracas Central — Huracán What is xG?0.9–0.8
Barracas Central not to lose69%
Huracán not to lose64%
No draw67%
Both teams to score: yes36%
Both teams to score: no64%
Total over 2.526%
Total under 2.574%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Barracas Central
  • Barracas Central goals
  • Huracán goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Barracas Central

  • 03.10away · Atlético Tucumán3:2
  • 22.09Independiente Rivadavia0:1
  • 15.09away · Banfield1:1
  • 08.09Argentinos Juniors0:0
  • 01.09away · Tigre0:0

Huracán

  • 04.10Aldosivi1:0
  • 20.09away · River Plate2:1
  • 14.09Racing Club2:1
  • 05.09away · Belgrano1:1
  • 30.08Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1:1

Head to head

  • 03.06.2026Barracas Central — Huracán1:0
  • 24.03.2026Huracán — Barracas Central0:0
  • 17.11.2025Barracas Central — Huracán1:1
  • 04.05.2025Huracán — Barracas Central0:1
  • 04.06.2024Barracas Central — Huracán0:2

Next matches

  • HuracánGimnasia LP16 October · Liga Profesional
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
  • SarmientoBarracas Central20 October · Liga Profesional
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →