Swiss Super League, round 11 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Basel — Grasshopper

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 25 October

Basel61%
Draw22%
Grasshopper17%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Basel are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.

3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 64%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Basel are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Basel — Grasshopper What is xG?2.2–1.2
Basel not to lose83%
Grasshopper not to lose39%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes64%
Both teams to score: no36%
Total over 2.566%
Total under 2.534%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Basel
  • Basel goals
  • Grasshopper goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Basel

  • 11.10away · FC Vaduz0:3
  • 20.09St. Gallen1:3
  • 13.09away · Luzern4:2
  • 06.09Lugano1:3
  • 03.09Sion1:2

Grasshopper

  • 11.10Young Boys0:2
  • 19.09away · Luzern1:5
  • 15.09Sion2:5
  • 12.09away · Thun1:0
  • 05.09FC Zürich2:2

Head to head

  • 05.03.2026Basel — Grasshopper1:0
  • 23.11.2025Grasshopper — Basel1:1
  • 02.08.2025Basel — Grasshopper2:1
  • 03.04.2025Basel — Grasshopper2:1
  • 14.12.2024Basel — Grasshopper0:1

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Championship roundServette1041514–13+113
7, Relegation roundBasel1041517–20-313
8, Relegation roundLuzern1033417–22-512
10, Relegation roundFC Vaduz1030721–2109
11, Relegation roundGrasshopper1022613–26-138
12, Relegation roundLausanne101367–16-96

Season 2026/27

Full table

Swiss Super League on the same day

  • ThunLuganopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
  • SionLausannepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →