Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
BATE — Belshina
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
BATE are clear favourites: 56% against 21% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings BATE are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: BATE — Belshina What is xG? | 1.7–0.9 | |
| BATE not to lose | 79% | |
| Belshina not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap BATE
- BATE goals
- Belshina goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Slavia Mozyr2:1
- 19.09away · Din. Minsk0:2
- 13.09Naftan2:2
- 07.09away · Dynamo Brest0:1
- 03.09away · Isloch0:2
- 10.10away · Naftan1:4
- 18.09FC Minsk2:0
- 12.09away · Vitebsk1:1
- 06.09Neman2:2
- 02.09away · ML Vitebsk1:1
Head to head
- 12.06.2026Belshina — BATE1:1
- 22.09.2023BATE — Belshina2:1
- 06.05.2023Belshina — BATE0:3
- 14.08.2022BATE — Belshina2:2
- 02.04.2022Belshina — BATE0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | -18 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE | 23 | 4 | -10 | 21 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Belshina | 23 | 5 | -17 | 21 |
| 15, Relegation | Naftan | 24 | 4 | -31 | 17 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- FC GomelDin. Minskpreliminary2727462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- NaftanIslochpreliminary1624592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- VitebskML Vitebskpreliminary2126532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →