CONMEBOL Copa Sudamericana, playoff · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Estadio Alberto José Armando
Boca Juniors — Vasco da Gama
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Boca Juniors are clear favourites: 54% against 19% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Boca Juniors are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Vasco da Gama: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Boca Juniors — Vasco da Gama What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| Boca Juniors not to lose | 81% | |
| Vasco da Gama not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Boca Juniors
- Boca Juniors goals
- Vasco da Gama goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Instituto2:2
- 03.10Unión3:0
- 27.09away · Racing Club3:2
- 20.09away · San Lorenzo2:0
- 16.09away · São Paulo1:1
- 11.10Remo0:0
- 08.10away · Botafogo2:1
- 20.09Coritiba5:0
- 16.09Santa Fe2:0
- 12.09away · Grêmio2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →