Norwegian Eliteserien, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Bodø/Glimt — Vålerenga
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bodø/Glimt are clear favourites: 88% against 4% for the opponent, draw 8%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 81%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bodø/Glimt are about 2.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bodø/Glimt — Vålerenga What is xG? | 3.4–0.9 | |
| Bodø/Glimt not to lose | 96% | |
| Vålerenga not to lose | 12% | |
| No draw | 92% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 81% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 19% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bodø/Glimt
- Bodø/Glimt goals
- Vålerenga goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Kristiansund3:1
- 20.09away · Brann1:2
- 14.09Sandefjord3:2
- 10.09away · Bayern München0:5
- 04.09away · Fredrikstad2:1
- 12.10away · KFUM1:2
- 20.09Fredrikstad1:1
- 12.09away · Lillestrøm0:2
- 06.09away · Sarpsborg 082:2
- 30.08Molde3:4
Head to head
- 08.08.2026Vålerenga — Bodø/Glimt1:2
- 01.11.2025Vålerenga — Bodø/Glimt3:1
- 26.07.2025Bodø/Glimt — Vålerenga7:2
- 24.09.2023Bodø/Glimt — Vålerenga4:2
- 04.06.2023Vålerenga — Bodø/Glimt1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Bodø/Glimt | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Viking | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Vålerenga | 22 | 6 | -10 | 23 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | -15 | 21 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- HamarkamerateneRosenborgpreliminary2427492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 88% will not happen in roughly 12 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →