Norwegian Eliteserien, round 25 · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Bodø/Glimt — Viking

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Model prediction for 30 October

Bodø/Glimt69%
Draw18%
Viking13%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bodø/Glimt are clear favourites: 69% against 13% for the opponent, draw 18%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 65%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Bodø/Glimt are about 1.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bodø/Glimt — Viking What is xG?2.5–1.2
Bodø/Glimt not to lose87%
Viking not to lose31%
No draw82%
Both teams to score: yes65%
Both teams to score: no35%
Total over 2.571%
Total under 2.529%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Bodø/Glimt
  • Bodø/Glimt goals
  • Viking goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Bodø/Glimt

  • 10.10Kristiansund3:1
  • 20.09away · Brann1:2
  • 14.09Sandefjord3:2
  • 10.09away · Bayern München0:5
  • 04.09away · Fredrikstad2:1

Viking

  • 13.10Bayern München3:3
  • 09.10away · Brann2:0
  • 20.09Lillestrøm3:0
  • 13.09Kristiansund8:1
  • 09.09away · VfB Stuttgart1:3

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Viking — Bodø/Glimt5:0
  • 19.07.2025Viking — Bodø/Glimt2:4
  • 28.05.2025Bodø/Glimt — Viking2:4
  • 10.08.2024Viking — Bodø/Glimt1:1
  • 06.04.2024Bodø/Glimt — Viking1:0

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Champions League qualifyingBodø/Glimt22172356–20+3653
2, Champions League qualifyingViking22172356–20+3653
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueTromsø22116541–30+1139

Season 2026

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →