French Ligue 2, round 10 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Boulogne — Reims
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Reims are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Reims are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Boulogne — Reims What is xG? | 1.0–1.3 | |
| Boulogne not to lose | 58% | |
| Reims not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Boulogne
- Boulogne goals
- Reims goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Sochaux1:1
- 19.09Nantes1:2
- 11.09away · Clermont Foot0:0
- 04.09Dijon1:1
- 28.08away · Montpellier0:0
- 10.10away · Nantes0:0
- 18.09Montpellier1:1
- 11.09away · Nancy2:1
- 05.09Guingamp2:2
- 29.08away · Red Star4:1
Head to head
- 04.04.2026Reims — Boulogne0:0
- 28.10.2025Boulogne — Reims2:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Reims | 8 | 3 | +6 | 14 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Nancy | 8 | 4 | +2 | 13 |
| 15 | Rodez | 8 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Boulogne | 8 | 0 | -2 | 6 |
| 17, Relegation | Clermont Foot | 8 | 0 | -3 | 6 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →