Swedish Allsvenskan, round 24 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Brommapojkarna — Djurgården
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Djurgården are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Djurgården are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brommapojkarna — Djurgården What is xG? | 1.1–1.8 | |
| Brommapojkarna not to lose | 47% | |
| Djurgården not to lose | 79% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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Form
- 10.10away · AIK6:5
- 19.09IFK Göteborg0:1
- 13.09away · Hammarby1:3
- 06.09Elfsborg2:1
- 31.08away · GAIS0:4
- 11.10away · Hammarby1:0
- 20.09Elfsborg1:2
- 14.09GAIS2:0
- 07.09away · Kalmar FF1:0
- 03.09away · Mjällby2:0
Head to head
- 22.05.2026Djurgården — Brommapojkarna1:2
- 24.08.2025Djurgården — Brommapojkarna1:0
- 29.05.2025Brommapojkarna — Djurgården0:1
- 25.09.2024Djurgården — Brommapojkarna2:1
- 16.05.2024Brommapojkarna — Djurgården0:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Sirius | 23 | 17 | +25 | 54 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Djurgården | 23 | 14 | +27 | 44 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Hammarby | 23 | 13 | +28 | 43 |
| 10 | GAIS | 23 | 8 | +7 | 30 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 23 | 8 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Mjällby | 23 | 5 | -11 | 23 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →