Segunda Division, round 10 · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Celta Fortuna — Tenerife
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Celta Fortuna are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celta Fortuna are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celta Fortuna — Tenerife What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Celta Fortuna not to lose | 78% | |
| Tenerife not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Celta Fortuna
- Celta Fortuna goals
- Tenerife goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10Real Sociedad B4:1
- 04.10away · Sporting Gijón2:3
- 26.09Sabadell1:1
- 20.09away · Almería0:2
- 14.09Eibar0:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Real Valladolid | 9 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →