Liga MX (Mexico), round 7 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
CF América — Tijuana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
CF América are clear favourites: 63% against 15% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CF América are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CF América — Tijuana What is xG? | 2.1–1.0 | |
| CF América not to lose | 85% | |
| Tijuana not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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- Handicap CF América
- CF América goals
- Tijuana goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Monterrey1:1
- 28.09away · Necaxa4:2
- 20.09Chivas2:2
- 13.09away · Cruz Azul3:4
- 30.08Puebla2:0
Head to head
- 10.01.2026Tijuana — CF América0:0
- 17.07.2025CF América — Tijuana3:1
- 17.01.2025CF América — Tijuana1:1
- 24.10.2024Tijuana — CF América2:2
- 14.01.2024Tijuana — CF América0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Liguilla (playoffs) | CF América | 10 | 6 | +11 | 21 |
| 2, Liguilla (playoffs) | Toluca | 11 | 6 | +10 | 20 |
| 7, Liguilla (playoffs) | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | +1 | 17 |
| 8, Liguilla (playoffs) | Tijuana | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →