Uruguayan Primera Division, round 11 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Club Atlético Progreso — Juventud de las Piedras
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Juventud de las Piedras are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 30%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Juventud de las Piedras are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Club Atlético Progreso — Juventud de las Piedras What is xG? | 1.0–1.3 | |
| Club Atlético Progreso not to lose | 57% | |
| Juventud de las Piedras not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Club Atlético Progreso
- Club Atlético Progreso goals
- Juventud de las Piedras goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Club Atletico Peñarol1:1
- 03.10away · Liverpool FC2:3
- 26.09Racing2:1
- 19.09away · Boston River2:1
- 13.09Cerro1:3
- 11.10Racing2:0
- 04.10away · Boston River0:0
- 27.09Cerro0:0
- 20.09away · Albion3:1
- 13.09Danubio1:1
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Juventud de las Piedras — Club Atlético Progreso2:0
- 12.04.2026Juventud de las Piedras — Club Atlético Progreso1:0
- 09.11.2025Juventud de las Piedras — Club Atlético Progreso1:1
- 29.06.2025Juventud de las Piedras — Club Atlético Progreso2:0
- 18.05.2025Club Atlético Progreso — Juventud de las Piedras1:2
Uruguayan Primera on the same day
- 373231XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- 4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- 4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →