Brazilian Serie A, round 32 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Coritiba — Grêmio
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Coritiba are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Coritiba are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coritiba — Grêmio What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Coritiba not to lose | 72% | |
| Grêmio not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Coritiba
- Coritiba goals
- Grêmio goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 12.10Botafogo1:1
- 09.10away · Fluminense0:4
- 20.09away · Vasco da Gama0:5
- 12.09Athletico Paranaense3:3
- 06.09Mirassol1:2
- 11.10Internacional1:1
- 08.10away · Remo1:1
- 20.09Palmeiras0:0
- 17.09away · Botafogo2:3
- 12.09Vasco da Gama1:2
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Grêmio — Coritiba1:0
- 02.11.2023Coritiba — Grêmio1:2
- 25.06.2023Grêmio — Coritiba5:1
- 31.01.2021Coritiba — Grêmio1:1
- 08.10.2020Grêmio — Coritiba2:1
Table
Brasileirao on the same day
- FlamengoAtlético-MGpreliminary6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →