Turkish Super Lig, round 8 · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Çorum FK — Rizespor

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Model prediction for 16 October

Çorum FK45%
Draw28%
Rizespor28%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Çorum FK are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 28%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.

Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 66%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Çorum FK — Rizespor What is xG?1.8–1.4
Çorum FK not to lose72%
Rizespor not to lose55%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes66%
Both teams to score: no34%
Total over 2.562%
Total under 2.538%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Çorum FK
  • Çorum FK goals
  • Rizespor goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Çorum FK

  • 11.10away · Gaziantep FK3:0
  • 19.09Alanyaspor1:2
  • 12.09away · Samsunspor5:1
  • 06.09Eyüpspor3:0
  • 31.08away · Beşiktaş2:6

Rizespor

  • 10.10Fenerbahçe0:3
  • 20.09away · Göztepe2:2
  • 12.09away · Eyüpspor2:0
  • 07.09Alanyaspor0:1
  • 29.08away · Gaziantep FK2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Kocaelispor74038–6+212
8Çorum FK731316–12+410
9Kasımpaşa72418–8010
10Rizespor73137–9-210
11Başakşehir722310–11-18

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →