Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
CSD Macará — Barcelona SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
CSD Macará are clear favourites: 47% against 24% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CSD Macará are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSD Macará — Barcelona SC What is xG? | 1.3–0.9 | |
| CSD Macará not to lose | 76% | |
| Barcelona SC not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap CSD Macará
- CSD Macará goals
- Barcelona SC goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Universidad Católica (ECU)1:0
- 19.09away · Aucas2:1
- 13.09Emelec1:0
- 06.09away · Independiente del Valle1:3
- 02.09Manta4:3
- 12.10away · LDU de Quito1:2
- 14.09Delfín1:1
- 07.09away · Aucas1:1
- 03.09Independiente del Valle2:1
- 30.08away · Manta0:2
Head to head
- 09.08.2026Barcelona SC — CSD Macará1:2
- 20.04.2026CSD Macará — Barcelona SC3:1
- 18.08.2025Barcelona SC — CSD Macará0:2
- 27.04.2025CSD Macará — Barcelona SC0:1
- 16.09.2024Barcelona SC — CSD Macará2:1
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- Universidad Católica (ECU)Aucaspreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Independiente del ValleLDU de Quitopreliminary6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Guayaquil CityLibertad (ECU)preliminary372934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- EmelecLeones del Nortepreliminary4031291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- DelfínDeportivo Cuencapreliminary383230XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.8
- OrenseTécnico Universitariopreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Mushuc RunaMantapreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →