Uruguayan Primera Division, round 11 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Danubio — Central Español
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Danubio are slightly stronger: 43% against 26%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 37%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Danubio — Central Español What is xG? | 1.1–0.8 | |
| Danubio not to lose | 74% | |
| Central Español not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 63% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Danubio
- Danubio goals
- Central Español goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Montevideo City Torque0:1
- 04.10Cerro Largo2:1
- 28.09away · Defensor Sporting0:1
- 20.09Montevideo Wanderers1:1
- 13.09away · Juventud de las Piedras1:1
- 12.10Nacional (URU)0:1
- 04.10away · Deportivo Maldonado0:3
- 27.09Liverpool FC1:2
- 22.09Montevideo City Torque1:4
- 13.09away · Cerro Largo0:0
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Central Español — Danubio2:2
Uruguayan Primera on the same day
- 2827462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →