La Liga, round 9 · Friday, 16 October, 22:00 MSK

Deportivo A Coruña — Levante

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Model prediction for 16 October

Deportivo A Coruña38%

Draw29%

Levante33%

Model estimate at 12:55 MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Deportivo A Coruña 38%, Levante 33%, draw 29%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 60%.

Why

By the strength ratings Levante are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Deportivo A Coruña — Levante What is xG?		1.5–1.3
Deportivo A Coruña not to lose		67%
Levante not to lose		62%
No draw		71%
Both teams to score: yes		60%
Both teams to score: no		40%
Total over 2.5		53%
Total under 2.5		47%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Deportivo A Coruña
Deportivo A Coruña goals
Levante goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Deportivo A Coruña

11.10away · Real Sociedad2:3
20.09Real Betis1:1
16.09Sevilla0:1
13.09away · Getafe1:1
05.09away · Villarreal3:2

Levante

12.10Sevilla3:3
20.09away · Villarreal1:3
13.09Barcelona2:4
06.09away · Málaga0:0
29.08Real Betis5:2

Head to head

25.01.2025Deportivo A Coruña — Levante1:2
24.10.2024Levante — Deportivo A Coruña2:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
7	Deportivo Alavés	8	3	2	3	12–8	+4	11
8	Deportivo A Coruña	8	2	4	2	12–11	+1	10
9	Celta Vigo	8	1	5	2	8–6	+2	8
16	Osasuna	8	2	2	4	8–18	-10	8
17	Levante	7	1	3	3	11–15	-4	6
18, Relegation	Elche	8	1	3	4	11–17	-6	6

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →