Belarusian Premier League · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Dnepr Mogilev — BATE
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
BATE are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings BATE are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dnepr Mogilev — BATE What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| Dnepr Mogilev not to lose | 57% | |
| BATE not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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- Handicap Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev goals
- BATE goals
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Form
- 11.10Din. Minsk2:3
- 20.09away · Dynamo Brest2:4
- 13.09ML Vitebsk1:1
- 06.09away · Baranovici1:2
- 30.08Isloch0:0
- 10.10Slavia Mozyr2:1
- 19.09away · Din. Minsk0:2
- 13.09Naftan2:2
- 07.09away · Dynamo Brest0:1
- 03.09away · Isloch0:2
Head to head
- 31.05.2026BATE — Dnepr Mogilev1:1
- 01.09.2024Dnepr Mogilev — BATE1:1
- 19.04.2024BATE — Dnepr Mogilev1:1
- 21.08.2022BATE — Dnepr Mogilev2:1
- 10.04.2022Dnepr Mogilev — BATE0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | -18 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE | 23 | 4 | -10 | 21 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Belshina | 23 | 5 | -17 | 21 |
| 15, Relegation | Naftan | 24 | 4 | -31 | 17 |
| 16, Relegation | Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | -17 | 16 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →