Nigeria NPFL, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Doma United — Kun Khalifat

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Model prediction for 17 October

Doma United52%
Draw26%
Kun Khalifat22%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Doma United are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Doma United — Kun Khalifat What is xG?1.6–0.9
Doma United not to lose78%
Kun Khalifat not to lose48%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes48%
Both teams to score: no52%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Doma United
  • Doma United goals
  • Kun Khalifat goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Doma United

  • 11.10away · Nasarawa United0:2
  • 04.10Warri Wolves FC1:0
  • 27.09away · Katsina United1:2
  • 23.09Plateau United2:2
  • 20.09away · Kano Pillars1:4

Kun Khalifat

  • 11.10Shooting Stars2:0
  • 04.10away · Niger Tornadoes0:1
  • 27.09Kwara United1:0
  • 24.09away · Rivers United FC0:5
  • 20.09Enugu Rangers2:4

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Barau834112–9+313
5Doma United841310–10013
6Ikorodu City833210–7+312
17Shooting Stars82247–11-48
18Kun Khalifat82247–14-78
19Enyimba821511–14-37

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →