French Ligue 2, round 10 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Dunkerque — Metz
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Dunkerque 33%, Metz 39%, draw 28%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Metz are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dunkerque — Metz What is xG? | 1.4–1.5 | |
| Dunkerque not to lose | 61% | |
| Metz not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dunkerque
- Dunkerque goals
- Metz goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 09.10Annecy FC0:1
- 18.09away · Pau0:2
- 12.09Saint-Étienne2:1
- 04.09Clermont Foot1:1
- 28.08away · Nancy0:2
- 12.10away · Dijon2:4
- 19.09Saint-Étienne2:2
- 14.09away · Red Star0:1
- 05.09Rodez4:1
- 29.08away · Annecy FC1:1
Head to head
- 15.03.2025Dunkerque — Metz2:3
- 09.12.2024Metz — Dunkerque2:0
Table
Ligue 2 on the same day
- Clermont FootGuingamppreliminary2931402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- NancyLavalpreliminary4728241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- PauGrenoblepreliminary4827241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- SochauxAnnecy FCpreliminary3030392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →