Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Dynamo Brest — FC Gomel

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Model prediction for 17 October

Dynamo Brest46%
Draw26%
FC Gomel28%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Dynamo Brest are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Dynamo Brest are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dynamo Brest — FC Gomel What is xG?1.5–1.1
Dynamo Brest not to lose72%
FC Gomel not to lose54%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Dynamo Brest
  • Dynamo Brest goals
  • FC Gomel goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Dynamo Brest

  • 09.10away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1:0
  • 20.09Dnepr Mogilev4:2
  • 13.09away · Din. Minsk1:0
  • 07.09BATE1:0
  • 29.08ML Vitebsk1:3

FC Gomel

  • 11.10ML Vitebsk1:5
  • 20.09away · Baranovici2:0
  • 13.09away · Isloch1:2
  • 05.09away · Zhodino2:1
  • 28.08Belshina1:0

Head to head

  • 30.05.2026FC Gomel — Dynamo Brest2:1
  • 07.11.2025FC Gomel — Dynamo Brest3:0
  • 21.06.2025Dynamo Brest — FC Gomel0:1
  • 27.09.2024FC Gomel — Dynamo Brest2:1
  • 11.05.2024Dynamo Brest — FC Gomel1:1

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueIsloch23137337–18+1946
4Dynamo Brest24134739–23+1643
5Neman23124729–20+940
6FC Gomel24116734–23+1139
7Vitebsk24107728–21+737

Season 2026

Full table

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →