Swedish Allsvenskan, round 25 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Elfsborg — Malmö FF
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Elfsborg are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Elfsborg — Malmö FF What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Elfsborg not to lose | 69% | |
| Malmö FF not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Elfsborg
- Elfsborg goals
- Malmö FF goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Halmstads BK4:0
- 20.09away · Djurgården2:1
- 13.09Kalmar FF1:0
- 06.09away · Brommapojkarna1:2
- 29.08Degerfors2:0
Head to head
- 26.07.2026Malmö FF — Elfsborg1:2
- 14.09.2025Elfsborg — Malmö FF2:2
- 07.04.2025Malmö FF — Elfsborg2:1
- 28.05.2024Malmö FF — Elfsborg2:1
- 05.05.2024Elfsborg — Malmö FF3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Hammarby | 23 | 13 | +28 | 43 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 23 | 11 | +13 | 40 |
| 5 | Häcken | 23 | 10 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 23 | 11 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 | Västerås SK | 23 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- Västerås SKHalmstads BKpreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →