Serie B, round 8 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Empoli — LR Vicenza
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Empoli are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Empoli are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Empoli — LR Vicenza What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Empoli not to lose | 79% | |
| LR Vicenza not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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- Handicap Empoli
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- LR Vicenza goals
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Form
- 10.10Palermo2:4
- 20.09away · Modena1:2
- 11.09Arezzo0:1
- 05.09away · Carrarese1:0
- 30.08away · Mantova1:3
- 10.10Pisa0:3
- 20.09away · Hellas Verona1:2
- 12.09Juve Stabia1:1
- 06.09away · Virtus Entella2:2
- 29.08away · Avellino0:3
Head to head
- 15.08.2021Empoli — LR Vicenza4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Empoli | 6 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | LR Vicenza | 6 | 1 | -6 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →