Turkish Super Lig, round 8 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Erzurumspor FK — Eyüpspor

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Model prediction for 17 October

Erzurumspor FK40%
Draw32%
Eyüpspor28%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Erzurumspor FK are slightly stronger: 40% against 28%, draw 32%.

The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.

Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Erzurumspor FK — Eyüpspor What is xG?1.2–1.0
Erzurumspor FK not to lose72%
Eyüpspor not to lose60%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.537%
Total under 2.563%

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  • Handicap Erzurumspor FK
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Form

Erzurumspor FK

  • 10.10away · Alanyaspor0:0
  • 20.09Samsunspor1:0
  • 11.09away · Beşiktaş0:3
  • 05.09Konyaspor1:0
  • 28.08away · Gençlerbirliği1:1

Eyüpspor

  • 12.10Göztepe0:4
  • 20.09away · Fenerbahçe0:8
  • 12.09Rizespor0:2
  • 06.09away · Çorum FK0:3
  • 30.08Alanyaspor2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
13Gençlerbirliği72237–15-88
14Erzurumspor FK72233–11-88
15Göztepe713315–1506
17, RelegationSamsunspor71156–15-94
18, RelegationEyüpspor71062–20-183

Season 2026/27

Full table

Super Lig on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →