Liga MX (Mexico), round 13 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
FC Juárez — Atlante
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: FC Juárez 35%, Atlante 37%, draw 29%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlante are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Juárez — Atlante What is xG? | 1.5–1.5 | |
| FC Juárez not to lose | 63% | |
| Atlante not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Juárez
- FC Juárez goals
- Atlante goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Tijuana1:1
- 28.09away · León1:2
- 19.09Tigres2:0
- 14.09away · Santos Laguna1:2
- 05.09Pachuca0:2
- 11.10away · Querétaro FC0:2
- 26.09Monterrey4:2
- 19.09away · Puebla1:1
- 12.09Pachuca0:3
- 06.09away · Atlas1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Atlético de San Luis | 11 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Atlante | 11 | 2 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | FC Juárez | 11 | 1 | -18 | 4 |
Liga MX on the same day
- ChivasNecaxapreliminary6522141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Atlético de San LuisQuerétaro FCpreliminary3928331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- TigresLeónpreliminary5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →