Danish Superliga, round 12 · Monday, 26 October, MSK

FC København — OB

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Model prediction for 26 October

FC København67%
Draw20%
OB13%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

FC København are clear favourites: 67% against 13% for the opponent, draw 20%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC København are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FC København — OB What is xG?2.3–1.1
FC København not to lose87%
OB not to lose33%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes62%
Both teams to score: no38%
Total over 2.566%
Total under 2.534%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap FC København
  • FC København goals
  • OB goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

FC København

  • 11.10away · FC Midtjylland1:2
  • 20.09away · Brøndby IF1:0
  • 11.09AC Horsens2:0
  • 06.09away · OB5:0
  • 03.09Nordsjælland2:0

OB

  • 09.10away · Nordsjælland0:0
  • 19.09FC Midtjylland1:1
  • 13.09away · Randers FC2:1
  • 06.09FC København0:5
  • 30.08away · Lyngby1:1

Head to head

  • 06.09.2026OB — FC København0:5
  • 22.04.2026FC København — OB2:1
  • 15.03.2026OB — FC København2:1
  • 21.02.2026OB — FC København2:2
  • 23.08.2025FC København — OB1:1

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Championship roundFC København1080224–10+1424
2, Championship roundFC Midtjylland1064019–10+922
8, Relegation roundRanders FC1031611–16-510
9, Relegation roundOB102448–14-610
10, Relegation roundAGF1015414–17-38

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →