Russian Cup, round 5 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
FC Krasnodar — Dinamo Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: FC Krasnodar 37%, Dinamo Moscow 36%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Krasnodar — Dinamo Moscow What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| FC Krasnodar not to lose | 64% | |
| Dinamo Moscow not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Krasnodar
- FC Krasnodar goals
- Dinamo Moscow goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Fakel0:2
- 10.10Zenit St. Petersburg2:3
- 17.09away · FC Orenburg0:0
- 13.09Akron Togliatti1:1
- 05.09away · Krylya Sovetov Samara2:2
- 11.10away · Rubin Kazan1:0
- 17.09away · FC Rostov3:0
- 12.09FC Orenburg1:0
- 06.09Spartak Moscow2:1
- 03.09FK Akhmat3:0
Head to head
- 19.08.2026Dinamo Moscow — FC Krasnodar0:1
- 11.05.2026Dinamo Moscow — FC Krasnodar2:1
- 07.05.2026FC Krasnodar — Dinamo Moscow0:0
- 08.04.2026Dinamo Moscow — FC Krasnodar0:0
- 30.09.2025FC Krasnodar — Dinamo Moscow0:0
Russian Cup on the same day
- FakelFK Akhmatpreliminary2625492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →