Danish Superliga, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

FC Midtjylland — Lyngby

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Model prediction for 25 October

FC Midtjylland64%
Draw23%
Lyngby14%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

FC Midtjylland are clear favourites: 64% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 60%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Midtjylland are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FC Midtjylland — Lyngby What is xG?2.1–1.0
FC Midtjylland not to lose86%
Lyngby not to lose36%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes60%
Both teams to score: no40%
Total over 2.562%
Total under 2.538%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap FC Midtjylland
  • FC Midtjylland goals
  • Lyngby goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

FC Midtjylland

  • 11.10FC København2:1
  • 19.09away · OB1:1
  • 14.09Brøndby IF4:1
  • 07.09Nordsjælland2:2
  • 02.09away · AGF2:0

Lyngby

  • 11.10away · Brøndby IF2:5
  • 18.09Silkeborg0:4
  • 13.09Sønderjyske1:1
  • 04.09away · Viborg2:0
  • 30.08OB1:1

Head to head

  • 16.08.2026Lyngby — FC Midtjylland1:1
  • 16.02.2025FC Midtjylland — Lyngby1:0
  • 16.08.2024Lyngby — FC Midtjylland1:2
  • 27.10.2023FC Midtjylland — Lyngby2:1
  • 06.08.2023Lyngby — FC Midtjylland4:1

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Championship roundFC København1080224–10+1424
2, Championship roundFC Midtjylland1064019–10+922
3, Championship roundViborg1062217–8+920
10, Relegation roundAGF1015414–17-38
11, Relegation roundLyngby1014512–21-97
12, Relegation roundSønderjyske1012712–24-125

Season 2026/27

Full table

Danish Superliga on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
  • AGFViborgpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →