Belarusian Premier League · Friday, 23 October, MSK
FC Minsk — Baranovici
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Minsk are clear favourites: 50% against 24% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Minsk are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Minsk — Baranovici What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| FC Minsk not to lose | 76% | |
| Baranovici not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Minsk
- FC Minsk goals
- Baranovici goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Zhodino0:1
- 18.09away · Belshina0:2
- 11.09Slavia Mozyr1:0
- 06.09away · Naftan3:0
- 30.08away · BATE1:2
- 10.10away · Neman0:3
- 20.09FC Gomel0:2
- 12.09away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0:0
- 06.09Dnepr Mogilev2:1
- 29.08away · Din. Minsk1:0
Head to head
- 13.06.2026Baranovici — FC Minsk2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | +7 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | +1 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovici | 24 | 6 | -17 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | -18 | 23 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →