Tanzania Premier League, round 8 · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Fountain Gate FC — Pamba Jiji

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Model prediction for 16 October

Fountain Gate FC34%
Draw31%
Pamba Jiji35%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Fountain Gate FC 34%, Pamba Jiji 35%, draw 31%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Pamba Jiji are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Fountain Gate FC — Pamba Jiji What is xG?1.2–1.2
Fountain Gate FC not to lose65%
Pamba Jiji not to lose66%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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  • Handicap Fountain Gate FC
  • Fountain Gate FC goals
  • Pamba Jiji goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Fountain Gate FC

  • 09.10JKT Tanzania1:2
  • 13.09away · Kagera Sugar1:1
  • 31.08Young Africans0:2
  • 28.08Mbeya City0:2
  • 25.08away · Namungo FC0:1

Pamba Jiji

  • 08.10Geita Gold FC4:0
  • 13.09TRA United1:3
  • 05.09away · JKT Tanzania0:3
  • 28.08away · Young Africans0:2
  • 23.08away · Azam FC1:2

Head to head

  • 30.04.2026Fountain Gate FC — Pamba Jiji1:2
  • 23.11.2025Pamba Jiji — Fountain Gate FC1:0
  • 08.04.2025Pamba Jiji — Fountain Gate FC1:1
  • 05.11.2024Fountain Gate FC — Pamba Jiji1:3

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
14Kagera Sugar71248–15-75
15Pamba Jiji71158–13-54
16Fountain Gate FC71153–11-84

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →