Serie A, round 7 · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Frosinone — Sassuolo

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 16 October

Frosinone32%
Draw31%
Sassuolo37%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Frosinone 32%, Sassuolo 37%, draw 31%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 67%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Sassuolo are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Frosinone — Sassuolo What is xG?1.5–1.6
Frosinone not to lose63%
Sassuolo not to lose68%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes67%
Both teams to score: no33%
Total over 2.560%
Total under 2.540%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Frosinone
  • Frosinone goals
  • Sassuolo goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Frosinone

  • 10.10away · Napoli0:3
  • 20.09Como2:0
  • 12.09away · Genoa1:1
  • 06.09Venezia3:2
  • 02.09away · Sassuolo1:1

Sassuolo

  • 11.10Milan1:1
  • 18.09away · Monza1:2
  • 13.09Juventus3:2
  • 06.09away · Bologna2:2
  • 02.09Frosinone1:1

Head to head

  • 02.09.2026Sassuolo — Frosinone1:1
  • 13.05.2025Sassuolo — Frosinone0:1
  • 14.12.2024Frosinone — Sassuolo1:2
  • 09.03.2024Sassuolo — Frosinone1:0
  • 17.09.2023Frosinone — Sassuolo4:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8Napoli631210–6+410
9Frosinone63129–7+210
10Atalanta63038–809
11Sassuolo622210–1008
12Torino62137–9-27

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →