Turkish Super Lig, round 10 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Gençlerbirliği — Alanyaspor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Gençlerbirliği 34%, Alanyaspor 35%, draw 31%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Alanyaspor are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gençlerbirliği — Alanyaspor What is xG? | 1.2–1.2 | |
| Gençlerbirliği not to lose | 65% | |
| Alanyaspor not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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Form
- 10.10Amed Sportif2:2
- 19.09away · Başakşehir0:4
- 13.09Kasımpaşa1:2
- 06.09away · Trabzonspor0:5
- 28.08Erzurumspor FK1:1
- 10.10Erzurumspor FK0:0
- 19.09away · Çorum FK2:1
- 12.09Göztepe2:2
- 07.09away · Rizespor1:0
- 30.08away · Eyüpspor1:2
Head to head
- 09.03.2026Alanyaspor — Gençlerbirliği0:0
- 04.10.2025Gençlerbirliği — Alanyaspor2:2
- 04.04.2021Alanyaspor — Gençlerbirliği1:2
- 05.12.2020Gençlerbirliği — Alanyaspor2:1
- 16.02.2020Alanyaspor — Gençlerbirliği0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gençlerbirliği | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →