Brazilian Serie B, round 34 · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Goiás — Náutico

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Model prediction for 20 October

Goiás50%
Draw27%
Náutico24%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Goiás are clear favourites: 50% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Goiás are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Goiás — Náutico What is xG?1.6–1.0
Goiás not to lose76%
Náutico not to lose50%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.549%
Total under 2.551%

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  • Handicap Goiás
  • Goiás goals
  • Náutico goals
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Form

Goiás

  • 12.10away · Operário-PR2:0
  • 07.10Athletic Club MG2:1
  • 02.10away · Novorizontino0:3
  • 27.09Atlético-GO0:1
  • 20.09Avaí2:1

Náutico

  • 11.10Vila Nova0:2
  • 09.10Novorizontino0:2
  • 03.10away · Fortaleza1:1
  • 26.09Sport Recife3:1
  • 22.09away · Cuiabá0:3

Head to head

  • 29.06.2026Náutico — Goiás0:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9Operário-PR331391144–45-148
10Goiás331461334–40-648
11Cuiabá331114832–26+647
13Athletic Club MG3310131040–39+143
14Náutico331191339–42-342
15Ceará331191335–40-542

Season 2026

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →