Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Guayaquil City — Libertad (ECU)
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Guayaquil City 37%, Libertad (ECU) 34%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Guayaquil City — Libertad (ECU) What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Guayaquil City not to lose | 66% | |
| Libertad (ECU) not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Guayaquil City
- Guayaquil City goals
- Libertad (ECU) goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Emelec3:2
- 20.09Leones del Norte1:1
- 13.09Mushuc Runa3:1
- 08.09away · Orense3:4
- 03.09away · Deportivo Cuenca0:1
- 09.10Leones del Norte3:0
- 20.09away · Emelec2:1
- 14.09Independiente del Valle2:3
- 07.09away · Deportivo Cuenca1:0
- 04.09Emelec1:1
Head to head
- 16.08.2026Guayaquil City — Libertad (ECU)2:2
- 22.04.2026Libertad (ECU) — Guayaquil City0:1
- 10.10.2023Libertad (ECU) — Guayaquil City1:0
- 06.05.2023Guayaquil City — Libertad (ECU)1:1
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- Universidad Católica (ECU)Aucaspreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Independiente del ValleLDU de Quitopreliminary6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- CSD MacaráBarcelona SCpreliminary4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- EmelecLeones del Nortepreliminary4031291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- DelfínDeportivo Cuencapreliminary383230XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.8
- OrenseTécnico Universitariopreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Mushuc RunaMantapreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →