Swedish Allsvenskan, round 23 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Nordic Wellness Arena
Häcken — Örgryte
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Häcken to win (73%), came true.
Häcken are clear favourites: 73% against 10% for the opponent, draw 17%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Häcken are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Häcken — Örgryte What is xG? | 2.6–1.0 | |
| Häcken not to lose | 90% | |
| Örgryte not to lose | 27% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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Form
- 20.09away · Kalmar FF5:0
- 11.09Mjällby1:1
- 05.09away · GAIS0:0
- 29.08Västerås SK1:3
- 21.08away · Sirius3:0
- 19.09Sirius1:2
- 13.09away · Malmö FF1:4
- 06.09Hammarby1:1
- 30.08away · IFK Göteborg0:1
- 22.08Halmstads BK1:1
Head to head
- 11.07.2026Örgryte — Häcken4:3
Table
Next matches
- Malmö FFHäcken18 October · Allsvenskan3628361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- ÖrgryteGAIS18 October · Allsvenskan1925562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.0
Allsvenskan on the same day
- 5324231The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →