Norwegian Eliteserien, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Hamarkameratene — Rosenborg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rosenborg are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rosenborg are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hamarkameratene — Rosenborg What is xG? | 1.4–1.9 | |
| Hamarkameratene not to lose | 51% | |
| Rosenborg not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Start4:2
- 20.09away · Tromsø2:3
- 13.09Molde1:5
- 05.09away · Rosenborg0:4
- 30.08Kristiansund2:2
- 10.10Sandefjord1:1
- 19.09away · Kristiansund3:1
- 12.09Tromsø5:3
- 05.09Hamarkameratene4:0
- 30.08away · Bodø/Glimt2:4
Head to head
- 05.09.2026Rosenborg — Hamarkameratene4:0
- 28.09.2025Hamarkameratene — Rosenborg4:0
- 13.07.2025Rosenborg — Hamarkameratene2:0
- 10.11.2024Hamarkameratene — Rosenborg0:2
- 14.04.2024Rosenborg — Hamarkameratene1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 22 | 11 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrøm | 22 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | KFUM | 22 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamarkameratene | 22 | 7 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | -6 | 24 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- Bodø/GlimtVålerengapreliminary88841The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →