Scottish Premiership, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Hibernian — Celtic
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Celtic are clear favourites: 57% against 19% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celtic are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hibernian — Celtic What is xG? | 1.1–1.9 | |
| Hibernian not to lose | 43% | |
| Celtic not to lose | 81% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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- Handicap Hibernian
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- Celtic goals
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Form
- 10.10away · Dundee United0:1
- 19.09Aberdeen1:1
- 15.09Kilmarnock0:1
- 06.09away · St. Johnstone1:2
- 03.09Heart of Midlothian1:3
- 11.10away · Motherwell2:0
- 20.09Rangers0:1
- 17.09Ferencváros1:3
- 09.09away · St. Johnstone1:0
- 05.09away · St. Mirren2:1
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Hibernian — Celtic1:2
- 22.02.2026Celtic — Hibernian1:2
- 30.11.2025Hibernian — Celtic1:2
- 27.09.2025Celtic — Hibernian0:0
- 10.05.2025Celtic — Hibernian3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Celtic | 8 | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2, Championship round | Rangers | 8 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 9, Relegation round | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 10, Relegation round | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11, Relegation round | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- MotherwellHeart of Midlothianpreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →