Argentine Liga Profesional · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó
Huracán — Aldosivi
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Huracán to win (56%), came true.
Huracán are clear favourites: 56% against 17% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Huracán are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Huracán — Aldosivi What is xG? | 1.5–0.7 | |
| Huracán not to lose | 83% | |
| Aldosivi not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Huracán
- Huracán goals
- Aldosivi goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · River Plate2:1
- 14.09Racing Club2:1
- 05.09away · Belgrano1:1
- 30.08Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1:1
- 23.08Deportivo Riestra0:0
- 21.09Atlético Tucumán1:0
- 12.09away · Independiente Rivadavia3:4
- 05.09Banfield3:1
- 30.08away · Argentinos Juniors1:2
- 27.08Independiente Rivadavia0:2
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Aldosivi — Huracán0:0
- 12.10.2025Aldosivi — Huracán2:0
- 06.04.2025Huracán — Aldosivi3:3
- 07.08.2022Aldosivi — Huracán0:1
- 04.09.2021Huracán — Aldosivi2:0
Next matches
- AldosiviSarmiento9 October · Liga Profesional383032XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 1:1.2.2
- Barracas CentralHuracán10 October · Liga Profesional363331XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:1.1.8
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 4230291The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →