Serie A, round 6 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter — Parma
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3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Inter to win (81%), came true.
Inter are clear favourites: 81% against 5% for the opponent, draw 14%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter are about 1.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Inter — Parma What is xG? | 2.4–0.6 | |
| Inter not to lose | 95% | |
| Parma not to lose | 19% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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- Inter goals
- Parma goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 19.09away · Roma2:2
- 14.09Udinese5:3
- 08.09away · Real Madrid1:2
- 05.09Napoli3:2
- 30.08away · Cagliari1:0
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Inter — Parma2:0
- 07.01.2026Parma — Inter0:2
- 05.04.2025Parma — Inter2:2
- 06.12.2024Inter — Parma3:1
- 10.01.2023Inter — Parma2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Inter | 6 | 5 | +10 | 16 |
| 2, Champions League | Lazio | 6 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | Parma | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 19, Relegation | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | -7 | 4 |
Next matches
- InterClub Brugge13 October · Champions League6222171The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 3:1.3.0
- ParmaTorino19 October · Serie A293338XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
Serie A on the same day
- 3031392The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
- 5825171The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →