Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Internacional de Bogotá — Independiente Medellín
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Independiente Medellín are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Independiente Medellín are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Internacional de Bogotá — Independiente Medellín What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Internacional de Bogotá not to lose | 59% | |
| Independiente Medellín not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Internacional de Bogotá
- Internacional de Bogotá goals
- Independiente Medellín goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Junior FC2:2
- 05.10Once Caldas1:1
- 27.09away · Deportivo Pereira0:0
- 21.09away · Bucaramanga0:2
- 17.09Atlético Nacional2:3
- 12.10away · América de Cali2:1
- 06.10Santa Fe0:1
- 30.09Millonarios2:2
- 27.09away · Junior FC0:2
- 23.09CD Jaguares2:1
Head to head
- 07.02.2026Independiente Medellín — Internacional de Bogotá1:2
- 23.08.2025Independiente Medellín — Internacional de Bogotá3:1
- 09.03.2025Internacional de Bogotá — Independiente Medellín0:0
- 06.10.2024Independiente Medellín — Internacional de Bogotá0:0
- 23.03.2024Internacional de Bogotá — Independiente Medellín1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Semi-final groups | Atlético Nacional | 11 | 7 | +11 | 23 |
| 5, Semi-final groups | Independiente Medellín | 13 | 7 | +4 | 23 |
| 6, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 13 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogotá | 14 | 2 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Chicó FC | 12 | 3 | -9 | 12 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- Once CaldasAlianza FCpreliminary5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →