Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Isloch — FC Minsk

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Model prediction for 17 October

Isloch60%
Draw22%
FC Minsk18%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Isloch are clear favourites: 60% against 18% for the opponent, draw 22%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Isloch are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Isloch — FC Minsk What is xG?1.7–0.8
Isloch not to lose82%
FC Minsk not to lose40%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Isloch
  • Isloch goals
  • FC Minsk goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Isloch

  • 11.10away · Vitebsk0:0
  • 19.09Neman1:2
  • 13.09FC Gomel2:1
  • 07.09Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1:1
  • 03.09BATE2:0

FC Minsk

  • 10.10Zhodino0:1
  • 18.09away · Belshina0:2
  • 11.09Slavia Mozyr1:0
  • 06.09away · Naftan3:0
  • 30.08away · BATE1:2

Head to head

  • 29.05.2026FC Minsk — Isloch1:1
  • 17.08.2025FC Minsk — Isloch0:1
  • 06.04.2025Isloch — FC Minsk1:1
  • 20.10.2024FC Minsk — Isloch3:2
  • 21.05.2024Isloch — FC Minsk3:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Europa League or Conference LeagueDin. Minsk22144440–18+2246
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueIsloch23137337–18+1946
4Dynamo Brest24134739–23+1643
7Vitebsk24107728–21+737
8FC Minsk241041030–29+134
9Zhodino2386929–29030

Season 2026

Full table

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →