Belarusian Premier League · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Isloch — ML Vitebsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
ML Vitebsk are slightly stronger: 40% against 33%, draw 27%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings ML Vitebsk are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Isloch — ML Vitebsk What is xG? | 1.0–1.2 | |
| Isloch not to lose | 60% | |
| ML Vitebsk not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Isloch
- Isloch goals
- ML Vitebsk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · FC Gomel5:1
- 18.09Arsenal Dzerzhinsk5:1
- 13.09away · Dnepr Mogilev1:1
- 06.09Din. Minsk0:0
- 02.09Belshina1:1
Head to head
- 04.04.2026ML Vitebsk — Isloch1:1
- 01.11.2025ML Vitebsk — Isloch3:1
- 15.06.2025Isloch — ML Vitebsk0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | +29 | 47 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Din. Minsk | 22 | 14 | +22 | 46 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Isloch | 23 | 13 | +19 | 46 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 13 | +16 | 43 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- BelshinaDin. Minskpreliminary1323642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →