Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Saturday, 24 October, 04:10 MSK

Junior FC — Águilas Doradas

Model prediction for 24 October

Junior FC51%

Draw26%

Águilas Doradas22%

Model estimate at 08:05 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Junior FC are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

By the strength ratings Junior FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Junior FC — Águilas Doradas What is xG?		1.8–1.2
Junior FC not to lose		78%
Águilas Doradas not to lose		49%
No draw		74%
Both teams to score: yes		62%
Both teams to score: no		38%
Total over 2.5		59%
Total under 2.5		41%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Junior FC
Junior FC goals
Águilas Doradas goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Junior FC

11.10Internacional de Bogotá2:2
05.10away · Bucaramanga1:3
01.10away · Atlético Nacional1:3
27.09Independiente Medellín2:0
20.09away · Fortaleza FC4:1

Águilas Doradas

14.10away · Bucaramanga1:1
10.10away · Alianza FC2:2
03.10CD Jaguares2:0
28.09away · Deportivo Cali0:2
24.09away · América de Cali0:1

Head to head

12.04.2026Águilas Doradas — Junior FC0:3
19.07.2025Águilas Doradas — Junior FC2:3
02.02.2025Junior FC — Águilas Doradas2:2
23.09.2024Junior FC — Águilas Doradas3:4
09.03.2024Águilas Doradas — Junior FC0:2

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Clausura)
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
10	Once Caldas	13	4	4	5	16–16	0	16
11	Águilas Doradas	13	3	7	3	17–18	-1	16
12	Llaneros FC	13	4	2	7	15–17	-2	14
16	Fortaleza FC	13	1	8	4	14–19	-5	11
17	Junior FC	12	2	4	6	18–22	-4	10
18	CD Jaguares	12	2	4	6	14–22	-8	10

Season 2026 (Clausura)

Full table

Colombian Primera A on the same day

02:00
Chicó FCBucaramangapreliminary
293041
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →