2. Bundesliga, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Kaiserslautern — Hertha BSC

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Model prediction for 31 October

Kaiserslautern37%
Draw27%
Hertha BSC36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Kaiserslautern 37%, Hertha BSC 36%, draw 27%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 66%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kaiserslautern — Hertha BSC What is xG?1.6–1.6
Kaiserslautern not to lose64%
Hertha BSC not to lose63%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes66%
Both teams to score: no34%
Total over 2.562%
Total under 2.538%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Kaiserslautern
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  • Hertha BSC goals
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Form

Kaiserslautern

  • 09.10away · FC Heidenheim0:0
  • 19.09Eintracht Braunschweig1:0
  • 12.09away · Magdeburg0:3
  • 05.09Darmstadt3:0
  • 30.08away · St. Pauli2:1

Hertha BSC

  • 11.10Greuther Fürth2:1
  • 19.09away · Dynamo Dresden2:1
  • 13.09away · VfL Osnabrück3:1
  • 06.09Magdeburg2:1
  • 28.08away · Eintracht Braunschweig5:3

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Hertha BSC — Kaiserslautern0:1
  • 02.12.2025Hertha BSC — Kaiserslautern6:1
  • 08.11.2025Kaiserslautern — Hertha BSC0:1
  • 08.02.2025Hertha BSC — Kaiserslautern0:1
  • 31.08.2024Kaiserslautern — Hertha BSC3:4

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, PromotionHertha BSC770019–8+1121
2, Promotion1. FC Nürnberg752020–10+1017
5Wolfsburg733119–12+712
6Kaiserslautern73316–4+212
7St. Pauli724110–8+210

Season 2026/27

Full table

2. Bundesliga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →