Swedish Allsvenskan, round 26 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Kalmar FF — GAIS

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Model prediction for 29 October

Kalmar FF30%
Draw29%
GAIS41%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

GAIS are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 29%.

The model expects few goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings GAIS are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kalmar FF — GAIS What is xG?1.1–1.3
Kalmar FF not to lose59%
GAIS not to lose70%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.544%
Total under 2.556%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Kalmar FF
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  • GAIS goals
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Form

Kalmar FF

  • 12.10away · Malmö FF0:1
  • 20.09Häcken0:5
  • 13.09away · Elfsborg0:1
  • 07.09Djurgården0:1
  • 29.08away · Halmstads BK0:1

GAIS

  • 10.10Sirius0:1
  • 20.09away · Mjällby3:0
  • 14.09away · Djurgården0:2
  • 05.09Häcken0:0
  • 31.08Brommapojkarna4:0

Head to head

  • 30.05.2026GAIS — Kalmar FF3:0
  • 31.08.2024GAIS — Kalmar FF1:1
  • 25.04.2024Kalmar FF — GAIS2:3

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9AIK2396836–40-433
10GAIS2386928–21+730
11Brommapojkarna2386936–41-530
13Degerfors23551320–35-1520
14, Relegation play-offKalmar FF23541421–37-1619
15, RelegationÖrgryte23361425–52-2715

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

  • HammarbySiriuspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
  • ÖrgryteMjällbypreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →