Ukrainian Premier League, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Karpaty — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Karpaty are clear favourites: 62% against 14% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Karpaty are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Karpaty — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi What is xG? | 1.8–0.8 | |
| Karpaty not to lose | 86% | |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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- Handicap Karpaty
- Karpaty goals
- Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Dynamo Kyiv0:1
- 20.09Veres Rivne1:1
- 11.09away · FC Kolos Kovalivka2:0
- 05.09Shakhtar Donetsk1:2
- 29.08away · Liviy Bereh1:1
- 10.10away · FC Kolos Kovalivka1:3
- 19.09Liviy Bereh0:2
- 14.09away · Dynamo Kyiv0:3
- 06.09Bukovyna Chernivtsi0:0
- 29.08away · Kudrivka3:0
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — Karpaty0:0
- 19.10.2025Karpaty — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 7 | 5 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | +9 | 14 |
| 6 | Zorya | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 8 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 8 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Liviy Bereh | 7 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- 383031XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →