Nigeria NPFL, round 8 · Friday, 9 October, MSK
Katsina United — Enyimba
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:2Came true
In short
Final score 4:2: the model's most likely outcome, Katsina United to win (56%), came true.
Katsina United are clear favourites: 56% against 18% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Katsina United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Katsina United — Enyimba What is xG? | 1.5–0.7 | |
| Katsina United not to lose | 82% | |
| Enyimba not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
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- Handicap Katsina United
- Katsina United goals
- Enyimba goals
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Form
- 04.10away · Inter Lagos1:1
- 30.09Rivers United FC1:1
- 27.09Doma United2:1
- 23.09away · Shooting Stars0:2
- 19.09Niger Tornadoes1:0
- 04.10Plateau United2:0
- 30.09Shooting Stars4:2
- 27.09away · Kano Pillars0:0
- 23.09Sporting Lagos2:3
- 20.09Inter Lagos0:1
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Enyimba — Katsina United3:0
- 24.11.2025Katsina United — Enyimba3:2
- 20.02.2025Katsina United — Enyimba2:1
- 07.10.2024Enyimba — Katsina United3:0
- 28.04.2024Enyimba — Katsina United1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 8 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Kun Khalifat | 8 | 2 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 8 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 8 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
Next matches
- Kano PillarsKatsina United18 October · Nigeria NPFL6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- EnyimbaWarri Wolves FC18 October · Nigeria NPFL6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →